The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) has labeled 26 House Democrats as “vulnerable” heading into the 2026 midterm elections—offering Republicans a key chance to widen their slim majority in the House.
Just five months after Republicans secured full control of the government in 2024, both the NRCC and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) released lists of at-risk Democratic seats. The overlap between the two lists signals a rare bipartisan consensus: a number of Democrats could be in serious trouble in 2026. The lists identify nine freshman lawmakers and 13 representing districts that President Donald Trump carried in the November election.
California is home to several of the most at-risk Democrats, with Reps. Josh Harder, Adam Gray, George Whitesides, Derek Tran, and Dave Min all considered vulnerable by both the NRCC and the DCCC. Notably, Gray, Whitesides, and Tran flipped GOP-held seats in the 2024 election, the Daily Caller reported.
New York also features prominently, with freshman Democrats who captured Republican districts now facing tough reelection prospects. Reps. Tom Suozzi—who reclaimed his seat in a district carried by Trump—along with Laura Gillen and Josh Riley, are all flagged as potentially vulnerable according to both party committees.
In Nevada, Democrats spent over 100 times more than Republicans on advertising. Democratic Representatives Dina Titus, Steven Horsford, and Susie Lee, who won in a district that Trump previously carried, were also included on the NRCC and DCCC lists. Notably, Trump won this swing state by a margin of 50.6% to former Vice President Kamala Harris’s 47.5%.
States with large Hispanic populations are also focal points for vulnerable Democratic seats due to Republican gains among Latino voters, according to the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC). Democratic Representatives Gabe Vasquez from New Mexico, Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez from Texas, and Nellie Pou from New Jersey are all included in the GOP’s expanding map of offensive targets for 2026. Each of these representatives won their seats in districts that favor former President Trump.
“House Republicans are in the majority and on offense,” said NRCC Chairman Richard Hudson in the committee’s press release. “Meanwhile, vulnerable House Democrats have been hard at work demonstrating they are painfully out of touch with hardworking Americans. Republicans are taking the fight straight to these House Democrats in their districts, and we will unseat them next fall.”
A recent poll conducted by the Democratic group Navigator Research reveals concerning attitudes among Independent voters towards Democrats. Only 27% believe that Democratic leaders are focused on helping Americans, while just 37% think that party leaders have the right priorities. Moreover, a majority of 56% feel that Democrats are not looking out for working people.
The poll also found that 69% of Independent voters view the Democratic Party as “too focused on being politically correct,” while 51% of voters generally considered the party to be “elitist.”
