The latest election analysis from ABC News is not at all the slam-dunk that Vice President Kamala Harris was expecting less than 24 hours before in-person voting begins all across the country. Harris, who enjoyed an early bump in polls, has seen her leads fade away as former President Donald Trump regained momentum and has built small leads in nearly all of the must-have battleground states heading into Election Day.
This latest ABC News/Ipsos poll has Kamala Harris holding a three-point lead nationally, that’s up 49-46 over Donald Trump. She was leading by four points a week ago, so that’s all within any margin of error,” analyst Rich Klein began. Remarkably, Donald Trump’s level of support does not seem to move at all, no matter what happens in this race. You’ll recall four years ago he got about 47% of the vote; go back four years before that, 46% of the vote. In our polling, he’s been no lower than 45%, no higher than 48%. But of course, what matters at this point is the battleground states, and this is what we see.” [see video below]
Continuing, he said, “The latest and last numbers from the New York Times/Siena polling show, intriguingly, that Harris is up in must-wins for Trump in North Carolina and also in Georgia. At the same time, we see a tie, a virtual tie, in two must-win states for Harris: Pennsylvania and Michigan. So that kind of scrambles the electoral map math. But just to underscore the uncertainty, there is a new poll out today for the Des Moines Register that shows a genuine shocker—47-44, Harris. Yes, Harris in Iowa. That would be a major, major upset if that happens on election night.” That said, even CNN expressed doubts about the accuracy of the Iowa poll.
Then the analyst dropped the biggest bombshell of his report. “A whopping 74% of the country thinks we’re on the wrong track as a nation. That includes half of all Harris supporters and 98% of Trump voters. Those are the kind of numbers that are just brutal for an incumbent party, but this is an unusual election in so many ways,” Klein said. He added: “One place where Harris does have an edge is in favorability—a big edge, actually. She’s about even, 48-48 in favorability. Donald Trump, meanwhile, is 23 points underwater, being viewed unfavorably by 60% of the country.”
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Last month, Fox News anchor Bret Baier asked Harris how she could campaign on providing “a new way forward” while being part of the current administration. He also referenced a recent Marquette University poll indicating that 70 percent of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction. “More than 70 percent of people tell the country is on the wrong track. They say the country is on the wrong track. If it’s on the wrong track, that track follows three and a half years of you being vice president and President Biden being president. That is what they’re saying,” Baier said.” Why are they saying that? If you’re turning the page, you’ve been in office for three-and-a-half years.”
Harris refused to directly answer that question — and most others — and instead tried to pin the blame on former President Donald Trump, saying he “has been running for office” for years before Baier reminded her that she is the incumbent. At that point, Harris issued a bizarre reply, saying “You and I both know what I’m talking about. You and I both know what I’m talking about.” But Baier responded: “I actually don’t. What are you talking about?” But the vice president once again failed to provide a coherent response and began to talk about Republican policies “over the last decade.”
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