CNN political data guru Harry Enten dropped some more bad news on Vice President Kamala Harris and her campaign during a Tuesday morning segment with host Kate Bolduan. Specifically, Enten said that, according to the network’s polling data, Harris was not only losing support from minority voters but was also polling behind President Joe Biden with black and Hispanic voters in 2020.
“Yes, let’s start with black voters. And, you know, big part of the Democratic coalition. This is the Democrat versus Trump margin. Look, Kamala Harris is up by 66 points among black voters. That is up from where Joe Biden was earlier this year, right, when he got out of the race, at 51. He was up by 51 points over Donald Trump,” Enten said.
“But this 66-point lead is way lower than that 80-point lead that Joe Biden had over Donald Trump at this point in the 2020 cycle. It’s 14 points lower. So, the bottom line is, yes, Joe Biden was really struggling with black voters. Harris has climbed up a little bit. But she’s not anywhere near the level that Joe Biden was at this point just four years ago,” he added. Bolduan then asked: “And then what about Hispanic voters?”
“All right, so this is the same trend idea, right? All right, what you see here again, Democrat versus Donald Trump. Yes, Kamala Harris is ahead by 15 points. That’s certainly significantly better than Joe Biden was doing just a few months ago when it was a seven- point advantage. But again, look at this, this 15-point advantage that Harris has is significantly less than Joe Biden was doing at this point four years ago. It’s nearly – it’s only about half that number,” he explained.
“So, again, we’re seeing that double-digit shift from where we were four years ago at this point, not just among black voters, but Hispanic voters as well. Kamala Harris doing better than Joe Biden was doing earlier on this year, but not anywhere near as well as he was doing four years ago at this point,” Enten continued, as Bolduan then asked him to compare how the two candidates are doing with white voters.
“All right, so we have all of this news here, which has really not very good for Kamala Harris given where Joe Biden was four years ago at this point. And you’re wondering to yourself, how the heck is Kamala Harris so competitive in this race. And this is where it gets really interesting. This really racial dynamic, racial polarization decreasing, because look among white voters. All right, so what do we see?” he explained.
“This should actually be 2020. There we go. And what do we see? We see here again, the Democrat versus Trump margin. And what do we see here? Look at this, Trump is ahead, but by eight points. That is significantly lower than Trump’s lead was at the end of the 2020 campaign when it was a 14-point advantage, and it’s even lower than it was at this point back in 2020 when it was a nine-point advantage for Donald Trump,” Enten said.
He added: So, what’s essentially going on here is that Kamala Harris is able to make up the sort of lower standing that she has among black and Hispanic voters by doing significantly better than Joe Biden did four years ago in the final tally among white voters.”
WATCH:
Trump is still doing significantly better than he did in 2020 among Black and Hispanic voters, though Harris has improved from Biden’s position in July.
How is this race close? Harris is more than holding her own among White voters vs. the Biden 2020 baseline. pic.twitter.com/quuDTVygMS
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 24, 2024
