CNN political data guru Harry Enten gave Vice President Kamala Harris some more bad news during a Monday morning segment, suggesting that she is likely taking her very slim lead for granted and revealing her biggest mistake so far.
When anchor John Berman asked for more detail on the recent New York Times/Sienna poll showing former President Donald Trump with a one-point lead, Enten emphasized that Harris’s initial post-convention boost has “vanished.” He noted that since the high-profile Democratic National Convention, Harris’s early surge has faded. Enten predicted that the election will hinge on Pennsylvania, where Trump currently leads. “What we’re seeing is a tightening race,” Enten said while analyzing the data.
One month ago, three separate nonpartisan polls showed the Democratic vice president leading her rival by 3 to 4%. Today, those same polls showed Harris and Trump tied. “This, to me, is part of an emerging pattern, which is in a very pivotal state – what we saw was a small Harris lead within the margin of error becoming a race that is way, way, way too close to call.” When Berman asked just how critical Pennsylvania will be to garnering 270 electoral votes, Enten pointed out that political betting markets have Harris eking out a win there. But he challenged viewers to think bigger.
“Let’s take Pennsylvania out of Kamala Harris’ column and put it in Donald Trump’s column. Again, with the betting favorites having Trump take Pennsylvania, what happens when we turn Pennsylvania red? Donald Trump wins in the Electoral College, 287 electoral votes to Kamala Harris’s 251 electoral votes,” a much larger win than for Harris if she takes the state. “So that is why I say it’s pivotal,” he added.
As the race narrows to a single state, Harris’s advisors might regret not selecting Josh Shapiro, Pennsylvania’s popular Democratic governor, as her running mate. Insiders from the Harris campaign have acknowledged that she faced significant pressure from the anti-Israel left to avoid choosing a Jewish running mate, concerned that a Harris-Shapiro administration might be influenced heavily by Israel.
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“Folks like myself thought she should have taken Josh Shapiro” who currently sits at a 59% approval rating, Enten stated. “If Kamala Harris loses in Pennsylvania, and that is the tipping state as Mr. Berman put it – the state that could put Donald Trump over the top in the Electoral College – there are going to be some real questions as to whether Kamala Harris should have chosen Josh Shapiro given how popular he is.”
WATCH:
CNN’s Harry Enten Sounds Alarm About Harris’ Vanishing Lead In ‘Very Pivotal’ Swing State pic.twitter.com/Nlk0Hztm7S
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 9, 2024
Instead, Harris chose Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, a far-left Midwesterner who has encountered several controversies since joining the ticket. The Trump-Vance campaign has criticized Walz for leaving his National Guard battalion in 2005, just before its deployment to Iraq, and has accused him of “stolen valor” for running for Congress with a military title that was later revoked. Additionally, Walz has faced criticism for inaccurately claiming that he and his wife used IVF to conceive, a claim they made following an Alabama court’s brief ban on the practice. Some Democrats, including Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman, have also suggested that Harris’s choice could jeopardize her chances in the crucial swing state.
