In addition to electing a president this year, all 435 House seats and a sizeable number of Senate seats are up for reelection. A new Rasmussen Reports poll, released Wednesday, is good news for former President Donald Trump and his party, as it shows Republicans leading by five percentage points in a generic congressional ballot. The survey comes as Republicans aim to retain and grow their narrow House majority in the upcoming November elections.
If congressional elections were held today, 48 percent of likely voters said they would support a generic Republican candidate, while 43 percent would back the Democratic Party, according to the survey. This margin is consistent with May’s results, when Republicans led with 47 percent to the Democrats’ 42 percent. Rasmussen found that Republicans are enjoying a significant 19-point lead among independents. Half of the independents surveyed expressed support for the Republican Party, while only 37 percent supported the Democrats. Additionally, 19 percent of independents either planned to vote for “some other candidate” or were unsure.
When breaking down the results by gender, Republicans have an eight-point lead among men. The results among women are nearly even, with 45 percent supporting the Republican Party and 44 percent backing the Democratic Party. Rasmussen noted that in May, the gap was much wider, with men favoring the GOP by an 11-point margin and women slightly preferring Democratic candidates for Congress. When analyzing the results by income bracket, those earning over $200,000 annually favor Democrats by a ten-point margin. Conversely, Republicans lead by 19 points among individuals earning between $30,000 and $50,000.
According to Rasmussen’s generic congressional ballot survey, Republicans held a five-point advantage leading up to the 2022 midterm elections. The GOP eventually secured a narrow nine-seat majority in the House. Despite the majority and significant gains in traditionally Democratic strongholds like New York and California, Democrats performed strongly in swing districts, leading to a less-than-expected overall outcome for the Republicans.
