Recent polls from the well-regarded Trafalgar Group and InsiderAdvantage reveal former President Donald Trump gaining traction against Vice President Kamala Harris in crucial swing states. The data comes from Robert Cahaly of the Trafalgar Group and Matt Towery of InsiderAdvantage, co-hosts of the acclaimed PollingPlus podcast. Their firms are known for their accuracy in previous elections, a reputation validated by RealClearPolitics.
In Michigan, the race is closely contested, with Harris holding a narrow lead at 49% compared to Trump’s 47%. Meanwhile, Trump leads Harris in Wisconsin with 49% to her 48%. Trafalgar Group’s polling indicates a broader trend of Trump gaining ground in other key regions.
In Pennsylvania, Trump is ahead with 46% to Harris’s 44%. A similar trend is seen in Arizona, where Trump leads 48% to Harris’s 47%. Trump also maintains a lead in Nevada, with 48% compared to Harris’s 45%, and in North Carolina, where he stands at 49% to Harris’s 45%. These results suggest Trump has strong support in key battleground states, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in Harris’s campaign strategy and demonstrating a resilient base for Trump across multiple crucial states.
Polling data indicates that a notable share of the electorate remains undecided or supports other candidates. In Pennsylvania and Nevada, undecided voters and those backing alternative candidates constitute 10% and 7%, respectively—sizable enough to influence the outcome as the race develops. While Trump can take comfort in his steady support in key battleground states, the coming weeks are likely to reveal more as both campaigns adapt their strategies to the evolving electoral landscape.
Former President Trump rallied supporters in Montana Thursday night, aiming to invigorate the Republican party’s prospects in a tightly contested Senate race this year. “I hear he’s going to make a comeback at the Democrat convention,” Trump joked of Biden during the rally. “He’s going to walk into the room and he’s going to say, ‘I want my presidency back. I want another chance to debate Trump. I want another chance.’”
At his rally in Bozeman, Montana, Trump also took a pointed jab at Governor Walz. “He ordered tampons to be put into boys’ bathrooms. Do we have any children here? Please close your ears. He ordered tampons in boys’ bathrooms, OK?” Trump said of the Minnesota governor. “So when you’re commander in chief, you don’t go to the run and hide away from the press. You know, they run and they wanna go on a record that’s a fake record. They have a fake record, both of them. How ’bout the new guy? How do you like him?” Trump added.
Onetime liberal darling-turned-populist provocateur Sen. John Fetterman (D-Pa.) has once again angered his Democratic Party with a truth bomb none of his colleagues wanted to hear. Namely, he has predicted that Trump will win the all-important Keystone State after taking it in 2016 and losing there to Joe Biden in 2020.
Appearing on Newsmax, Fetterman said his home state voters will size up Trump against Vice President Kamala Harris and find out the choice is obvious. “I think if you match up Trump with Harris, and I think that’s what this is really about, and I do believe he’s going to win Pennsylvania. And I do believe it’s going to be close, but whether it’s Biden, whether it was Clinton, or whether it was with Vice President Harris, I think it’s going to be very close.”
Sen. John Fetterman gives his prediction on who he thinks will win his home state of Pennsylvania and his Democratic Party went nuts. pic.twitter.com/djc9lbUZRW
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