According to a recent prediction by Decision Desk HQ, the Republican Party has a 65% chance of retaining the majority in the House, while former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the White House have increased. This represents a slight increase of one percentage point from their earlier forecast this week. Additionally, Decision Desk HQ anticipates that the GOP will win 11 out of the 16 races considered toss-ups. This analysis suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Republicans in the upcoming elections, indicating potential stability in their House majority.

“Six, seven months ago, it was a disaster for Republicans and Kevin McCarthy and all that turmoil,” said DDHQ Director of Data Science Scott Tranter, according to The Hill. “But by and large, the generic ballot for Republicans has been good, unusually good, in a presidential year, and that has really trickled down to some of these House races, which is why we see the Republicans slightly favored in 11 of the 16 toss-ups,” he added, nothing that former President Donald Trump has a 58 percent chance of winning the presidency.

Just over a week after President Joe Biden’s poorly received debate performance, there’s turmoil within his administration, with some members expressing their discontent anonymously in the media. The chaotic atmosphere is being likened to the plot of the comedy film “Weekend at Bernie’s,” where a family tries to maintain the illusion that their deceased uncle is still alive during a weekend trip.

Axios published the grumblings of several White House staffers, who offered candid assessments about their boss’s chances in November and where they think his top advisors went wrong. “Everyone is miserable, and senior advisers are a total black hole,” a White House official told the outlet. “Even if you’re trying to focus on work, nothing is going to break through or get any acknowledgment” from bosses. A high-ranking official at the Democratic National Committee added, “The only thing that can really allay concerns is for the president to demonstrate that he’s capable of running this campaign.”

Criticism within the administration centers on the perception that top advisors, including Deputy Chief of Staff Annie Tomasini, First Lady’s top adviser Anthony Bernal, and longtime aide Ashley Williams, have overly shielded the president. This protective approach is seen as problematic at a time when President Biden would benefit from a broader range of viewpoints to navigate challenges effectively. According to reports from Axios, some insiders have observed these advisors intervening during moments of forgetfulness by the president, even reminding him of long-known acquaintances.

One former Biden aide told Axios: “Annie, Ashley and Anthony create a protective bubble around POTUS. He’s staffed so closely that he’s lost all independence. POTUS relies on staff to nudge him with reminders of who he’s meeting, including former staffers and advisers who Biden should easily remember without a reminder from Annie.”

White House spokesman Andrew Bates dismissed the concerns and the comments as “anonymous sniping,” saying that it’s not unusual for presidents to rely on a small, trusted team of advisors. “These are standard processes for any White House, regardless of president or party. The claims about these individuals — whose professionalism and character are respected across the administration — are inaccurate.” Bates added: “This is a team with experience keeping the faith as we helped earn the strongest record in modern history, and our focus is not on anonymous sniping.”

Despite increasing calls from sitting members of Congress and influential Democrats for Biden to end his campaign, the president’s team has enlisted supporters to argue that he has a strong record to run on and that one debate performance shouldn’t determine the outcome.“90 minutes doesn’t define a presidency. President Biden has given us 3½ years of extraordinary accomplishments and he made clear to every Democratic staffer who’s working to get him re-elected that he’s all in for four more,” DNC Executive Director Sam Cornale said in a statement to the outlet.

According to a recent New York Times poll, former President Donald Trump has taken the lead over President Joe Biden among two critical voter demographics that were key to Biden’s 2020 victory. Trump is now ahead among Hispanic voters with 50% compared to Biden’s 41%, and also leads among young voters aged 18-29, with 48% support to Biden’s 40%.

 

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Disclaimer: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author’s opinion.