Former President Donald Trump continues to get fantastic news following his command performance in the first debate against President Joe Biden.
Wisconsin, a critical swing state in U.S. presidential elections, is showing a significant shift in support toward former President Donald Trump, according to a new poll by AARP. Elena Schneider from Politico reported the details of this poll, highlighting that Trump now holds a 6% lead in Wisconsin—a state he narrowly won in 2016 and which President Biden won by a slim margin in 2020. This latest development suggests a potentially weakening position for Biden in a state that has been pivotal in past elections.
A recent AARP poll focusing on Wisconsin voters aged 50 and older indicates a significant lead for former President Donald Trump over President Joe Biden. According to the poll, Trump holds a 9-point advantage in this demographic, with a 52% to 43% split. When considering voters of all ages, Trump’s lead slightly decreases to 5%.
The poll, which surveyed over 1,000 likely AARP voters shortly after Biden’s poorly received debate performance, revealed high engagement, with 75% of the older voters watching the debate and 94% being aware of it. Among these viewers, 59% believed Trump won the debate, compared to 16% for Biden. The trend holds in the broader voter base, with 56% of all voters polled favoring Trump as the debate winner, while only 13% sided with Biden.
Bob Ward, a partner at pollsters Fabrizio Ward, said opinions about Biden’s bad debate night are “having an impact” on his loss of support. “It’s changed this state, not dramatically, but noticeably,” he told AARP.
America’s heartland is crucial in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed this election year. In Michigan, Democrats are raising concerns about dissatisfaction among the party’s base regarding President Biden’s mental sharpness and his policies on the auto industry, particularly his push for new electric vehicle mandates. Ohio, traditionally a bellwether state, has shifted to solidly Republican in recent presidential elections. Meanwhile, Pennsylvania is emerging as a critical battleground for Biden; losing both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin would likely derail his chances of reaching the necessary 270 electoral votes.
After their debate, renowned pollster Frank Luntz reported a significant shift in voter sentiment among undecided swing-state residents. The debate, which was aired on CNN, marked the first time a sitting president and his predecessor squared off, offering a unique spectacle that captivated the nation.
Biden having a ‘senior’ moment…
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According to Luntz, the majority of his focus group, which consisted of undecided voters from critical swing states, overwhelmingly leaned toward Trump after the debate. “In my entire professional career, I’ve done 32 debates. Never has someone performed [like Biden last night]. And I was very upset with Donald Trump in 2020. I have never seen a performance like I saw last night,” said Luntz.
“We’ve never had that before. We are truly in uncharted territory. And what blew me away the most was that Joe Biden voters in 2020 don’t want him on the ticket in 2024. What is the reaction you had [from] 14 swing voters from these states? All undecided, all voting Republican and Democrat back and forth over the last 10 years. And boy, did they swing,” Luntz added.
One participant from the focus group remarked, “He does not have the leadership qualities to survive for the next four years. I don’t even know how he’s going to survive the next few months. They need a candidate that could beat Trump.” Another member reflected on their past support for Biden, stating, “I just think if the Democrats want to have a chance at putting someone in the White House, they need to put someone else up.”
“I think in 2020, Biden was a safe option that was relatively non-harmful to replace Trump,” another said. “And frankly, I didn’t think it reflected these same cognitive issues that we see tonight on the campaign. Yeah, it was a little dry, but it was definitely not to the same extent. I think tonight, I’m not sure how he functions during an eight-hour workday, let alone an eight-plus-hour workday.”
Disclaimer: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author’s opinion.