Meghan McCain may be experiencing a panic attack based on her online response to a new poll revealing former President Donald Trump’s significant lead over President Joe Biden in the early primary state of Iowa.
McCain, daughter of the late Arizona Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) and former liberal Republican co-host on “The View,” has consistently criticized Trump since his first White House run. She now warns anti-Trump media members that the former president’s growing lead in the Hawkeye State signals a possible win in Wisconsin as well.
“There is no scenario where Trump wins Iowa by 18 points but loses Wisconsin,” McCain wrote on X. “Ann Selzer is arguably the best pollster in the country (certainly Iowa) and her polls should be taken extremely seriously.
There is no scenario where Trump wins Iowa by 18 points but loses Wisconsin.
Ann Selzer is arguably the best pollster in the country (certainly Iowa) and her polls should be taken extremely seriously. https://t.co/tQukCaCahV
— Meghan McCain (@MeghanMcCain) June 17, 2024
Selzer, a pollster from Des Moines, surveyed 632 likely voters between June 9th and 14th, two weeks after President Trump was convicted in his Manhattan hush money trial. The results show that his lead in Iowa is increasing, which contrasts with earlier polls where respondents said they would be less likely to support Trump if found guilty in any criminal trials. Selzer reports that Trump currently leads President Biden 50% to 32% among likely voters, according to the Des Moines Register. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., received 9% of the vote.
In neighboring Wisconsin, President Trump currently leads Biden by a slim margin of 0.5%, according to recent polls by FiveThirtyEight. If McCain’s dire predictions are accurate, then polls in the Badger State are significantly underestimating Trump’s support. A poll of 500 Wisconsin voters conducted between June 5th and 10th showed both men tied at 44%. The latest numbers from Iowa also suggest Trump’s increasing chances in the traditionally blue state of Minnesota.
Donald Share, an Iowa voter who spoke with the Register after being polled, said that Trump’s America First theme is resonating with him. “I like (that) he doesn’t take any guff from anybody, that he puts America first,” Share said. “You know, we need to take care of our own before we worry about everybody else.” In regards to Trump’s criminal conviction, “these charges are part of the reason my mind is made up,” Share said. “The more they try to get him out of the picture, the stronger they make him. I, for one, believe that the charges are bogus.”
Among respondents who named a first-choice candidate, 67% have made up their minds, while 29% can be persuaded. Among Trump supporters, 76% are certain, and 24% are open to change, showing the loyalty of Republican voters. President Biden has support from 81% who are decided, while 19% could be convinced to vote for someone else.
Across seven of the nation’s most pivotal swing states, President Trump currently leads in every one. A general election poll conducted by Bloomberg and Morning Consult found the former president and Republican frontrunner leading Biden by an average of 4.5 percent across Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, and Arizona. The poll, which surveyed more than 4,900 voters between November 27th and December 1st, carries a margin of error of just plus or minus 1 percent.
