If history is any indication, President Joe Biden may be facing a significant challenge in the 2024 election. Recent polling numbers reported by CNN show Biden as the most unpopular incumbent president at this stage in his first term.

In stark contrast, former President Donald Trump is polling as the most formidable challenger of the 21st century. According to polling analyst Harry Enten, this is largely due to Trump’s exceptional consolidation of support, surpassing any general election Republican since their rivals dropped out.

“The one who’s actually getting the highest share after his opponents is actually Donald Trump this time around with 81%,” he said, adding, “This is actually a very strong performance for a non-incumbent after his opponents dropped out” compared to past results for Mitt Romney, Trump in 2020, and Biden today. And while mainstream media outlets have made hay over “protest votes” by Nikki Haley supporters, Enten said losing 20% of a primary vote is “not unusual” and poses no greater threat to Trump than a typical candidate.

“Donald Trump’s actually running historically strong for a non-incumbent in a presidential primary after his opponents dropped out,” he said. Meanwhile, Biden is performing “weak, weak, weak compared to history,” securing just 87% of the Democratic Party vote, the lowest among incumbents since 2000. At this point in their respective campaigns, former Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and Trump each had 90% or more support from their constituencies.


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Asked by host Kate Bolduan where former Biden voters who opted for Haley this time around may go, Enten broke down that Biden enjoys an advantage, though a sizable number maintained that they will stick with Trump in the fall. Four years ago, the bloc went for Biden by a 16-point margin. But “jump ahead to 2024 – Donald Trump leads among them by about 4 points, which is actually an improvement for Donald Trump from where he was in 2020,” Enten said.

WATCH:

The results from a New York Times/Siena poll conducted earlier this month continue to cast a shadow over the president’s reelection campaign as advisors and allies struggle to address the significant deficit he faces. MSNBC commentators were taken aback after reporting that among independents, 53% expressed more concern that a second Biden term would “weaken democracy,” compared to just 42% who felt the same about Trump.

Model Amber Rose, widely recognized for her outspokenness and advocacy for women’s rights, has recently entered political territory, surprising and upsetting many of her followers. A recent post marks a significant departure from her earlier public criticisms of former President Donald Trump, sparking a flurry of comments and reactions not only from fans but also from other public figures who quickly voiced their astonishment.

With a single photo alongside Donald and Melania Trump, captioned “Trump 2024 ??????,” Rose declared her support for the former president on Monday. Rose addressed controversial topics such as transgender rights and abortion, supporting viewpoints often championed by the former president in multiple posts.

 

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The online uproar intensified when a video clip of Trump explaining his stance on abortion circulated widely, contrasted with Biden’s recent appeals to Congress to reinstate Roe v. Wade. Adding to the controversy, a video of Biden speaking at a commencement ceremony also spread online, starkly contrasting with Rose’s unexpected endorsement.

“Lmaooo yall think Biden cares about black ppl??? Sad,” Rose wrote in a separate Instagram comment. “Do ur research. I did. I’ll ALWAYS put women first. Y’all want biological men in women’s sports Trump supports the most reasonable compromise on abortion. Stop being brainwashed cuz WE’RE ppl of color. Make your own decisions.”


Disclaimer: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author’s opinion.